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The offseason is prospect season.
Over the course of three issues in November, December and January, Baseball America publishes Top 10 Prospects rankings for all 30 organizations.
This year we added something new. We ranked the top overall graduated prospects from last year’s Top 10s.
Players are ranked by updated end-of-season BA Grade, which gauges each player’s realistic upside on the 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average. A Risk assessment deducts points—10 for High, five for Medium and none for Low—to determine each prospect’s Tier.
In the vast majority of cases, these graduated prospects were also top 2022 rookies—but not always. Players retain rookie status as long as they don’t exceed 130 at-bats, 50 innings or 45 days on an active MLB roster in a season or seasons. But sometimes rookie pitchers exceed 45 days without surpassing 50 innings.
So in this BA ranking, which was developed by the BA editorial staff, you will find three pitchers—Brewers lefthander Aaron Ashby and relievers Camilo Doval of the Giants and Andres Muñoz of the Mariners—who we classified as prospect eligible in 2022 even though they were not eligible for Rookie of the Year awards.
Rk | Player | Pos | Org | 2023 Age | BA Grade | Risk | Tier | Upside Role |
1 | Julio Rodriguez</a>”}”>Julio Rodriguez | CF | Mariners | 22 | 75 | Low | 75 | Franchise CF |
2 | Adley Rutschman</a>”}”>Adley Rutschman | C | Orioles | 25 | 75 | Low | 75 | Franchise C |
3 | Michael Harris</a>”}”>Michael Harris | OF | Braves | 22 | 65 | Low | 65 | All-star CF |
4 | George Kirby</a>”}”>George Kirby | RHP | Mariners | 25 | 70 | Medium | 65 | No. 2 starter |
5 | Bobby Witt Jr.</a>”}”>Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | Royals | 23 | 65 | Medium | 60 | All-star SS |
6 | Spencer Strider</a>”}”>Spencer Strider | RHP | Braves | 24 | 65 | Medium | 60 | No. 2 or 3 starter |
7 | Nick Lodolo</a>”}”>Nick Lodolo | LHP | Reds | 25 | 60 | Medium | 55 | No. 3 starter |
8 | Riley Greene</a>”}”>Riley Greene | OF | Tigers | 22 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division CF |
9 | Reid Detmers</a>”}”>Reid Detmers | LHP | Angels | 23 | 55 | Low | 55 | No. 3 or 4 starter |
10 | Jeremy Peña | SS | Astros | 25 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division SS |
11 | Oneil Cruz</a>”}”>Oneil Cruz | SS | Pirates | 24 | 60 | Medium | 55 | First-division SS |
12 | Steven Kwan</a>”}”>Steven Kwan | LF | Guardians | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | First-division LF |
13 | Andres Muñoz | RP | Mariners | 24 | 55 | Low | 55 | All-star closer |
14 | Vinnie Pasquantino</a>”}”>Vinnie Pasquantino | 1B | Royals | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | First-division 1B |
15 | Jhoan Duran</a>”}”>Jhoan Duran | RP | Twins | 25 | 55 | Low | 55 | All-star closer |
16 | CJ Abrams</a>”}”>CJ Abrams | SS | Nationals | 22 | 55 | Medium | 50 | Regular SS |
17 | Vaughn Grissom</a>”}”>Vaughn Grissom | 2B | Braves | 22 | 55 | Medium | 50 | Regular 2B |
18 | Bryson Stott</a>”}”>Bryson Stott | SS | Phillies | 25 | 50 | Low | 50 | Regular 2B |
19 | Brayan Bello</a>”}”>Brayan Bello | RHP | Red Sox | 24 | 60 |
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