It’s that time of year. MLB spring training feels only inches away, pitchers and catchers report in about a week, and fantasy baseball drafts kick into high gear. That means it’s time for us to take an even deeper dive into the current draft market, looking at whose stock is rising or falling and who might still be a good value in our upcoming drafts.
In this article, I’m going to look at the biggest “risers” and “fallers” in fantasy baseball drafts since the draft season began. NFBC platforms have the most accessible data, so we’re pulling from their drafts and looking at every draft from the start of November until the end of January. A huge hat tip for this goes to Kyle Bland over at Pitcher List, who put together an awesome list that tracked the ADP over that time. If you’re a Pitcher List member, he also created rolling graphs which you can access with their PL Pro tools to see how a player’s ADP has changed over time.
For this article, we’re not going to look at just ADP but the percentage of ADP cost. If we looked at raw ADP changes, we’d see dozens of players who moved up or down 100 or more spots, and it would just be players who gained or lost starting jobs this offseason.
When we sort by the percentage of ADP cost, we can see the players who rise and fall the most based on what it could cost us to draft them. A player moving from pick 50 to pick 31 (Garrett Crochet) may not seem like a lot, but it’s a massive shift in the cost it takes to acquire them in drafts since those early picks hold so much weight.
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2025 Fantasy Baseball ADP Risers
|
Player |
Position |
Team |
Early ADP |
Current ADP |
% Diff |
|
Trevor Megill |
RP |
MIL |
324.3 |
145.4 |
-55.2 |
|
Ryan Pressly |
RP |
CHC |
572.5 |
263.8 |
-53.9 |
|
Jeff Hoffman |
RP |
TOR |
298.3 |
152 |
-49 |
|
Willson Contreras |
C/1B |
STL |
115.3 |
69.8 |
-39.5 |
|
Matt Shaw |
3B |
CHC |
340.7 |
208 |
-39 |
|
Garrett Crochet |
SP |
BOS |
48.7 |
30.7 |
-37 |
|
Lawrence Butler |
OF |
ATH |
100.3 |
63.8 |
-36.4 |
|
Isaac Paredes |
3B |
HOU |
282.2 |
183 |
-35.1 |
|
Wyatt Langford |
OF |
TEX |
57 |
40.8 |
-28.5 |
|
Michael Conforto |
OF |
LAD |
389.3 |
282.4 |
-27.5 |
The first three names on here go without saying. When drafts kicked off in November, none of Trevor Megill, Ryan Pressly, or Jeff Hoffman were set to begin the season as their team’s closer. Now, Devin Williams was traded to the Yankees, Pressly was traded to the Cubs, and Hoffman signed with the Blue Jays, so each of them will begin the season with the closer gig. I prefer Hoffman of the bunch, but I don’t have any of them inside my top-10 closers with Hoffman at RP11, Pressly at RP16, and Megill at RP17.
Early…