Wise wagers for June 28 MLB games

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Tuesday features quite a few appealing underdog betting options on DraftKings Sportsbook. We’ll look at some of those while assessing the full night slate.

Doesn’t matter who it is, any underdog facing Patrick Corbin has to be considered as a viable play. Hitters have generated a 43.1% hard-contact rate against the left-hander this month, which manifested into a .437 wOBA. Yet, Corbin’s 6.23 FIP indicates things could be worse than his 5.59 June ERA conveys. The Pirates have a 34.2% hard-contact rate against left-handed pitching over the last two weeks, but they have one of the three lowest BABIPs against lefties during that stretch. Corbin could easily help provide some positive regression.

Furthermore, José Quintana tends to keep the Pirates in games. Pittsburgh hasn’t lost any of his 2022 starts by more than two runs. Given the Nationals’ numbers against lefties have been regressing in the second half of this month, this is a spot where Quintana can finally earn his second win of the season.

Boston’s seven-game winning streak came to a screeching halt on Monday. But, it’s not like that stretch was an anomaly. The Red Sox have lost five games this month. While that level of play isn’t sustainable, even a cooled-off Boston lineup is enough in a matchup between Michael Wacha and Ross Stripling.

Wacha sits at 6-1 through 12 starts. More importantly, the Red Sox are 9-3 with him on the mound. He’s navigated close contests, and Boston has also provided him with some serious offense at times, too. Wacha has largely limited hard contact, especially against right-handed hitters — something Toronto has no shortage of. Specifically, righty bats have a 46.6% ground-ball rate and just a 25.2% hard-contact rate against Wacha. And as tough as this Blue Jays offense is, we saw him successfully navigate through a meeting with them earlier in 2022.

As for Stripling, he’s been great in his return to the starting rotation. Outside of a hiccup vs. the Yankees, he’s only given up one run this month. But when you speak of things that simply aren’t sustainable, this run is a prime example. Unlike Wacha, Stripling has given up a lot of hard contact to right-handed hitters (39.1%) in June. Not a good sign for Toronto when you also consider several of Boston’s right-handed bats have experienced success against Stripling.

Young right-hander Baz has…